A new study introduces a global probabilistic forecasting model that predicts when and where ionospheric disturbances—measured by the Rate of total electron content (TEC) Index (ROTI)—are likely to ...

Billions of dollars’ worth of cancer drugs are discarded each year. Manufacturers must refund Medicare for some of this waste ...

The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

We develop methodology to bridge scenario analysis and risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. The methodology, rooted in Bayesian analysis, addresses the ...

Traditional long-term forecasting models are no longer sufficient as electrification, DER growth, EV adoption, extreme weather events and new large loads introduce unprecedented complexity. The future ...

Statistical models predict stock trends using historical data and mathematical equations. Common statistical models include regression, time series, and risk assessment tools. Effective use depends on ...

A Technical Assistance (TA) mission was conducted in Guatemala City, Guatemala, from June 12 to 16, 2023, to assist the authorities with the statistical component of liquidity management. The TA ...